Products related to Uncertainty:
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Dimensions of Uncertainty in Communication Engineering
Dimensions of Uncertainty in Communication Engineering is a comprehensive and self-contained introduction to the problems of nonaleatory uncertainty and the mathematical tools needed to solve them.The book gathers together tools derived from statistics, information theory, moment theory, interval analysis and probability boxes, dependence bounds, nonadditive measures, and Dempster–Shafer theory.While the book is mainly devoted to communication engineering, the techniques described are also of interest to other application areas, and commonalities to these are often alluded to through a number of references to books and research papers.This is an ideal supplementary book for courses in wireless communications, providing techniques for addressing epistemic uncertainty, as well as an important resource for researchers and industry engineers.Students and researchers in other fields such as statistics, financial mathematics, and transport theory will gain an overview and understanding on these methods relevant to their field.
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Risk and Uncertainty for Civil Engineering
This textbook introduces the fundamental concepts of probability, risk, and uncertainty, and shows their relevance in civil engineering projects.With an emphasis on applied probability and statistics, the book aids students in developing an intuitive understanding of the methods to apply in practice. Drawing from real-world examples, readers are introduced to risk assessment and analysis techniques, enabling them to identify, evaluate, and prioritise potential risks.Examples are provided of how spreadsheet tools such as Microsoft Excel can be used to solve problems involving probability, and practical approaches such as Monte Carlo simulations and decision trees are explained in a clear, accessible manner, empowering students to make informed decisions under uncertain and variable conditions.The book also emphasises the importance of effective communication, equipping students with essential skills for working in multidisciplinary teams and with different stakeholders. Risk and Uncertainty for Civil Engineering serves as an introductory textbook for undergraduate students in civil engineering, as well as a useful primer for postgraduate students.
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Risk and Uncertainty for Civil Engineering
This textbook introduces the fundamental concepts of probability, risk, and uncertainty, and shows their relevance in civil engineering projects.With an emphasis on applied probability and statistics, the book aids students in developing an intuitive understanding of the methods to apply in practice. Drawing from real-world examples, readers are introduced to risk assessment and analysis techniques, enabling them to identify, evaluate, and prioritise potential risks.Examples are provided of how spreadsheet tools such as Microsoft Excel can be used to solve problems involving probability, and practical approaches such as Monte Carlo simulations and decision trees are explained in a clear, accessible manner, empowering students to make informed decisions under uncertain and variable conditions.The book also emphasises the importance of effective communication, equipping students with essential skills for working in multidisciplinary teams and with different stakeholders. Risk and Uncertainty for Civil Engineering serves as an introductory textbook for undergraduate students in civil engineering, as well as a useful primer for postgraduate students.
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Mastering Project Uncertainty : A Systems Thinking Approach
Uncertainty permeates every thinkable aspect of project work and mastering information awareness and availability is the key to controlling benefits, budgets, and timelines.This book offers a theoretical framework and practical guidelines to systematically minimize uncertainty, thereby increasing the chances of project success. To paraphrase Henry Ford, transitioning from traditional risk management to mastering project uncertainty implies abandoning the quest for faster horses in favor of driving cars toward your project’s destination.This book presents the road map to this transition, with Part I providing a theoretical foundation for uncertainty management using systems thinking.Part II introduces strategies supported by practical techniques to master uncertainty through:Raising information awarenessIncreasing information availabilityImproving the effective use of informationMaximizing information efficiencyThis book’s combined theoretical and highly practical approach, is essential reading for scholars, academics, business leaders, project managers, strategists, and policymakers to bring the organization’s vision for a sustainable future to life.
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What is uncertainty?
Uncertainty refers to a lack of certainty or predictability about a situation or outcome. It is the state of not knowing what will happen in the future or the level of confidence one can have in a particular decision or event. Uncertainty can arise from various factors such as incomplete information, complexity, or randomness, and it can lead to feelings of doubt, anxiety, or hesitation. In many cases, uncertainty can be managed through risk assessment, planning, and flexibility in decision-making.
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What is extreme uncertainty?
Extreme uncertainty refers to a situation where there is a high level of unpredictability and ambiguity surrounding future outcomes. It is characterized by a lack of clear information or data to make informed decisions, leading to a wide range of potential outcomes. In such circumstances, traditional forecasting methods may not be effective, and decision-making becomes challenging. Extreme uncertainty can result from various factors such as rapid technological advancements, geopolitical instability, or global pandemics.
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What causes uncertainty regarding sexuality?
Uncertainty regarding sexuality can be caused by a variety of factors, including societal norms and expectations, lack of education or information about different sexual orientations, personal experiences that may challenge one's understanding of their own sexuality, and fear of judgment or discrimination from others. Additionally, the fluidity and complexity of human sexuality can also contribute to feelings of uncertainty as individuals may not fit neatly into traditional categories or labels. Overall, the multifaceted nature of sexuality and the diversity of human experiences can lead to uncertainty and confusion for many people.
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What causes uncertainty regarding virginity?
Uncertainty regarding virginity can be caused by various factors, including differing cultural beliefs and definitions of virginity. Additionally, lack of education and understanding about human anatomy and sexual health can contribute to confusion about what constitutes virginity. Social pressures and expectations surrounding virginity can also create uncertainty, as individuals may feel conflicted between personal beliefs and societal norms. Lastly, the subjective nature of virginity, which can be influenced by individual experiences and interpretations, can further contribute to uncertainty surrounding this concept.
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Facing Uncertainty
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Taming Uncertainty
An examination of the cognitive tools that the mind uses to grapple with uncertainty in the real world. How do humans navigate uncertainty, continuously making near-effortless decisions and predictions even under conditions of imperfect knowledge, high complexity, and extreme time pressure?Taming Uncertainty argues that the human mind has developed tools to grapple with uncertainty.Unlike much previous scholarship in psychology and economics, this approach is rooted in what is known about what real minds can do.Rather than reducing the human response to uncertainty to an act of juggling probabilities, the authors propose that the human cognitive system has specific tools for dealing with different forms of uncertainty.They identify three types of tools: simple heuristics, tools for information search, and tools for harnessing the wisdom of others.This set of strategies for making predictions, inferences, and decisions constitute the mind's adaptive toolbox. The authors show how these three dimensions of human decision making are integrated and they argue that the toolbox, its cognitive foundation, and the environment are in constant flux and subject to developmental change.They demonstrate that each cognitive tool can be analyzed through the concept of ecological rationality-that is, the fit between specific tools and specific environments.Chapters deal with such specific instances of decision making as food choice architecture, intertemporal choice, financial uncertainty, pedestrian navigation, and adolescent behavior.
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Embracing Uncertainty
'Susan Jeffers' wisdom feels like a precious gift. Her counsel is profound and meaningful in such challenging times.' MARIANNE WILLIAMSON'Original, courageous and brilliant!' WARREN FARRELL* * * * * * * * * *Nobody knows what will happen in the next moment of our lives.Whatever is in store for us, the only thing we CAN be sure of is that nothing in life is certain. And since we all fear the unknown, life's uncertainty can be a constant source of worry to us. But, as bestselling author Susan Jeffers explains, life doesn't have to be one worry after the next, a steady stream of 'what if's', and a constant attempt to create a secure haven for ourselves.In EMBRACING UNCERTAINTY she emphasises that an unknown future doesn't prevent a rich and abundant life, and shows how by enjoying life's unpredictability we transform ourselves from a position of fear to one filled with excitement and potential. Through invaluable case-studies, exercises and her pragmatic wisdom, Susan convinces us, above all, that life is exhilarating because of, not in spite of the uncertainty.
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Investment under Uncertainty
How should firms decide whether and when to invest in new capital equipment, additions to their workforce, or the development of new products?Why have traditional economic models of investment failed to explain the behavior of investment spending in the United States and other countries?In this book, Avinash Dixit and Robert Pindyck provide the first detailed exposition of a new theoretical approach to the capital investment decisions of firms, stressing the irreversibility of most investment decisions, and the ongoing uncertainty of the economic environment in which these decisions are made.In so doing, they answer important questions about investment decisions and the behavior of investment spending.This new approach to investment recognizes the option value of waiting for better (but never complete) information.It exploits an analogy with the theory of options in financial markets, which permits a much richer dynamic framework than was possible with the traditional theory of investment.The authors present the new theory in a clear and systematic way, and consolidate, synthesize, and extend the various strands of research that have come out of the theory. Their book shows the importance of the theory for understanding investment behavior of firms; develops the implications of this theory for industry dynamics and for government policy concerning investment; and shows how the theory can be applied to specific industries and to a wide variety of business problems.
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How can one hide uncertainty?
One can hide uncertainty by maintaining a confident demeanor, using vague language to avoid committing to a specific answer, and redirecting the conversation to a different topic. Additionally, one can prepare in advance by researching the topic in question to have some knowledge to fall back on. It is important to remember that it is okay to admit when you are unsure about something rather than trying to hide it.
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What causes uncertainty about vaccinations?
Uncertainty about vaccinations can be caused by a variety of factors. These may include misinformation or myths about vaccine safety and effectiveness, lack of understanding about how vaccines work, fear of potential side effects, and mistrust in the healthcare system. Additionally, conflicting information from different sources, such as social media or celebrities, can contribute to confusion and doubt about the importance of vaccinations. Overall, a lack of clear and accurate information can lead to uncertainty and hesitancy towards vaccines.
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What is uncertainty regarding transsexuality?
Uncertainty regarding transsexuality refers to the lack of understanding or clarity surrounding the experiences and identities of transgender individuals. This uncertainty can manifest in various ways, such as confusion about gender identity, societal misconceptions, and a lack of education about transgender issues. It can also lead to discrimination, stigma, and barriers to accessing appropriate healthcare and support services for transgender individuals. Overall, uncertainty regarding transsexuality highlights the importance of promoting awareness, acceptance, and inclusivity for all gender identities.
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What causes uncertainty while driving?
Uncertainty while driving can be caused by various factors such as poor weather conditions like heavy rain, fog, or snow, which can reduce visibility and road traction. Additionally, unfamiliar roads or driving in new locations can also lead to uncertainty as drivers may not be aware of the road layout or potential hazards. Other drivers' unpredictable behavior, such as sudden lane changes or running red lights, can also create uncertainty on the road. Lastly, mechanical issues with the vehicle, like strange noises or warning lights, can make drivers unsure about the safety and reliability of their vehicle.
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